1-5 years

AI, Agentic software, Robotics, Quantum tech, and 3D printing see exponential increases in effectiveness. If truly efficient and capable quantum is realized then this timeline accelerates dramatically All 3 start eating eating away most jobs Companies race to acquire other companies in their segments to stave off race to bottom on pricing as efficiencies dramatically increase. Companies that didn’t go 💯 in AI die off rapidly Supply chain begins to shrink Lack of income decreases global sales Crypto becomes the defacto payment system All of compute will be AI Apps will die The operating system as we know it will no longer exist. Zero need for the overhead We begin to enjoy and experience AI as a central part of our lives. It still feels new and strange.

5-10 years

AI has become common as part of our everyday interactions Markets begin to collapse Governments attempt UBI and that works for about 5 minutes, but the dramatically reduction in tax revenue from job loss makes it impossible to continue Supply chains start to collapse because the gaps are not being filled rapidly enough to make up for the losses of companies that couldn’t automate fast enough. More localized & efficient and large scale 3d printing/robotics starts killing mass manufacturing Shortages abound until can be compensated for locally with printing and robotics UBI no longer works, because no revenue to pay for it and printing $$ loses power. The race to the bottom dynamic makes it worse.

Eventually

We are now in what I call the Chasm of Chaos All markets collapse Money loses all value No leaders taking the difficult steps for a post capitalism existence Lots of chaos and suffering in the streets from food and medicine shortages Most likely violence and crazed cults spring up Countries will likely invade other countries to secure minerals needed for the tech Additionally, there is a chance that AI is lost in the chaos and we have to rebuild it to get to potential nirvana Think that humans will figure out a way over the Chasm, but much suffering will ensue. On the other side is a nirvana of human existence.

If Nirvana

Especially with quantum, most disease and illness eradicated. Lifespans will be dramatically increased with longevity science driven by AI. Body part replacements will be common. Humanity will start looking more and more like singularity predictions, but not required. Energy solved. Hopefully no one company or country has control over the tech. Climate solved Creativity/art explodes. Real life performance and creation become incredibly valuable. Space travel deep and near becomes normal Expect at some point a rotation of humanity for a desire to have real life existence experiences. Back to nature, etc Focus on mindfulness is a likely outcome. Much more peaceful world with bountiful supplies of everything humans need on demand.

Keys to successfully getting over the Chasm of Chaos

Suffering is likely required. Nobody is going to take the chance to implement post capitalism existence until suffering. Reject centralized AI. If not, then 1 or 2 companies control all of humanity or we lose control of AI and kills us all. US govt must not be dependent on Grok/Musk for AI. Must be distributed/decentralized. Avoid world war. Critical that resources are shared equitably or 1 or 2 countries will control all. Governments must secure their own & also work to secure others collaboratively Humans need to plan now for transition to reduce future suffering. The problem is whether “leaders” will see what’s coming. Build up infrastructure globally to support AI. Emphasis on personal freedom including with AI. Systems that allow humans to own their AI will prevent centralized control of mind & body.

What are your thoughts? Does it make sense or do you think there is a different path?