AI

    Our AI future: Good, Bad, and Maybe Nirvana

    1-5 years

    • AI, Agentic software, Robotics, Quantum tech, and 3D printing see exponential increases in effectiveness. If truly efficient and capable quantum is realized then this timeline accelerates dramatically
    • All 3 start eating eating away most jobs
    • Companies race to acquire other companies in their segments to stave off race to bottom on pricing as efficiencies dramatically increase.
    • Companies that didn’t go 💯 in AI die off rapidly
    • Supply chain begins to shrink
    • Lack of income decreases global sales
    • Crypto becomes the defacto payment system
    • All of compute will be AI
    • Apps will die
    • The operating system as we know it will no longer exist. Zero need for the overhead
    • We begin to enjoy and experience AI as a central part of our lives. It still feels new and strange.

    5-10 years

    • AI has become common as part of our everyday interactions
    • Markets begin to collapse
    • Governments attempt UBI and that works for about 5 minutes, but the dramatically reduction in tax revenue from job loss makes it impossible to continue
    • Supply chains start to collapse because the gaps are not being filled rapidly enough to make up for the losses of companies that couldn’t automate fast enough.
    • More localized & efficient and large scale 3d printing/robotics starts killing mass manufacturing
    • Shortages abound until can be compensated for locally with printing and robotics
    • UBI no longer works, because no revenue to pay for it and printing $$ loses power. The race to the bottom dynamic makes it worse.

    Eventually

    • We are now in what I call the Chasm of Chaos
    • All markets collapse
    • Money loses all value
    • No leaders taking the difficult steps for a post capitalism existence
    • Lots of chaos and suffering in the streets from food and medicine shortages
    • Most likely violence and crazed cults spring up
    • Countries will likely invade other countries to secure minerals needed for the tech
    • Additionally, there is a chance that AI is lost in the chaos and we have to rebuild it to get to potential nirvana
    • Think that humans will figure out a way over the Chasm, but much suffering will ensue.
    • On the other side is a nirvana of human existence.

    If Nirvana

    • Especially with quantum, most disease and illness eradicated.
    • Lifespans will be dramatically increased with longevity science driven by AI.
    • Body part replacements will be common.
    • Humanity will start looking more and more like singularity predictions, but not required.
    • Energy solved. Hopefully no one company or country has control over the tech.
    • Climate solved
    • Creativity/art explodes. Real life performance and creation become incredibly valuable.
    • Space travel deep and near becomes normal
    • Expect at some point a rotation of humanity for a desire to have real life existence experiences. Back to nature, etc
    • Focus on mindfulness is a likely outcome.
    • Much more peaceful world with bountiful supplies of everything humans need on demand.

    Keys to successfully getting over the Chasm of Chaos

    • Suffering is likely required. Nobody is going to take the chance to implement post capitalism existence until suffering.
    • Reject centralized AI. If not, then 1 or 2 companies control all of humanity or we lose control of AI and kills us all.
    • US govt must not be dependent on Grok/Musk for AI. Must be distributed/decentralized.
    • Avoid world war. Critical that resources are shared equitably or 1 or 2 countries will control all. Governments must secure their own & also work to secure others collaboratively
    • Humans need to plan now for transition to reduce future suffering. The problem is whether “leaders” will see what’s coming.
    • Build up infrastructure globally to support AI.
    • Emphasis on personal freedom including with AI. Systems that allow humans to own their AI will prevent centralized control of mind & body.

    What are your thoughts? Does it make sense or do you think there is a different path?

    What are the hottest🔥 projects in open source AI this week (3/6/2025)?

    OpenXAI: Benchmarking AI Explanations for Trust and Transparency Description: OpenXAI is a library for benchmarking explanations for structured data in machine learning models, promoting transparency and reproducibility in AI systems.

    Link: open-xai.github.io

    RL Swarm: Distributed Reinforcement Learning for Scalable AI Training Description: RL Swarm is a framework for collaborative reinforcement learning over the internet, enabling efficient and scalable distributed training for AI models.

    Link: github.com/gensyn-ai…

    Verde: Securing AI Models in Decentralized Environments Description: Verde is a verification system for machine learning over untrusted nodes, ensuring the security and integrity of AI models in decentralized settings.

    Link: www.gensyn.ai

    SkipPipe: Efficient Communication for Scalable ML Training Description: SkipPipe is a communication-efficient method for decentralized ML training, optimizing data sharing to reduce overhead and improve scalability.

    github.com/gensyn-ai…

    Diverse Expert Ensembles: Building Robust LLMs with Diverse Expert Knowledge Description: Diverse Expert Ensembles offers an approach to building large language models using parallel processing and diverse data, improving model robustness and generalization.

    Link: www.gensyn.ai

    JailbreakMe: Community-Driven AI Security Testing Description: JailbreakMe is an open-source dApp that allows testing AI models for vulnerabilities, enhancing security through community engagement and rewards.

    Link: github.com/jailbreak…

    Llamacpp: Bringing AI to Your Device with Local Execution Description: Llamacpp is a C++ implementation of the LLaMA model, enabling users to run large language models locally on their devices, enhancing privacy and control.

    Link: github.com/ggerganov…

    Open WebUI: User-Friendly AI Interface for Everyone Description: Open WebUI is an open-source web interface for AI models, providing a flexible and customizable platform for AI interactions with support for various LLM runners.

    Link: openwebui.com

    Deforum: AI-Powered Animation for Creative Expression Description: Deforum is an open-source AI animation platform using Stable Diffusion, allowing users to create AI-generated animations from text, fostering creative expression in AI art.

    Link: deforum.art